Libertarians becoming major swing vote?

David Boaz (Cato Institute) and David Kirby (America’s Future Foundation) have published a new study, The Libertarian Vote. Some of their conclusions:

Gallup consistently finds about 20 percent of respondents to be libertarian. We used a narrower definition, and we found that in 2004 libertarians accounted for 13 percent of the voting-age population and 15 percent of actual voters.

In a closely divided electorate, that’s clearly enough to swing elections.

So how do libertarians vote? Libertarians are increasingly a swing vote, and they are a larger share of the electorate than the fabled “soccer moms” and “NASCAR dads.”

6 Responses to “Libertarians becoming major swing vote?”

  1. Roscoe Says:

    How “increasingly a swing vote?’ If the LP gets 1% then 12% are staying with the the major parties. I would think we’d need to see evidence that at least 50% of the 13% are “swinging” from one party to another or another. It would appear that “libertarians” aren’t swinging, so there has been no reason (yet) for anyone to appeal to them.

  2. Jonathan Says:

    GO BARR GO if we all do our jobs in getting the word out he will be the swing vote

  3. TheEngineer Says:

    Roscoe,

    The survey is for small “L” libertarianism. The GOP used to at least offer lip service to these folks. This year, as neither party offers even small “L” libertarians anything and as the Libertarian candidate is more mainstream than usual, perhaps the LP will get closer to 13%. I hope so.

  4. Michael Seebeck Says:

    I think if the LP gets the swing vote, then the D’s and R’s get the merry-go-round votes, the G’s get the monkey-bars vote (not the monkey-BARR vote), and the CP gets the tetter-totter vote.

    I think I may go play Dodgeball this election instead…

  5. Michael Seebeck Says:

    I think if the LP gets the swing vote, then the D’s and R’s get the merry-go-round votes, the G’s get the monkey-bars vote (not the monkey-BARR vote), and the CP gets the teeter-totter vote.

    I think I may go play Dodgeball this election instead…

  6. Michael Seebeck Says:

    Sorry about the double-post.

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