Election Predictions (Round Two)

The Green Party seems to have the most to gain and the most to lose on Tuesday. Here are some highlights…

>> Minneapolis: There are two Greens running for re-election to the city council, and several others running strong campaigns to join them. Councilmember Natalie Johnson Lee seems like a good bet for re-election. Councilmember Dean Zimmerman’s seat could go either way as he’s been hit hard by a number of accusations. Candidate Cam Gordon seems like the most likely pick-up. My prediction is that there will be two Greens on the city council once this election is over. Obviously I can’t say for sure which two it will be. My gut kind of leans towards a Zimmerman loss off-set by a Gordon pick-up.

>> Portland: Maine Greens have have two excellent candidates. Carol Schiller is running a really solid campaign for Portland city council and Susan Hopkins is seeking a seat on the Portland School Board. I don’t think either candidate will win, but I feel like Hopkins might have the better chance.

>> Connecticut: Strong Green candidates are seeking offices in New Britain, New Haven, and New London. Of those candidates Bob Stuller and Andy Derr’s campaigns for city council in New London look the most promising. Both were endorsed by the city’s public works union, and Derr was additionally endorsed by the local police and a newspaper. I’ll go ahead and predict a victory in Derr’s race. The others will produce good showing and maybe some surprises.

>> Chuck Turner is running an unopposed campaign for re-election to the Boston city council.

>> Gloria Mattera has run a fantastic campaign for Brooklyn Borough President. It’s likely that she will produce a very strong showing, and there’s even an outside chance of an upset win. She has been endorsed by the Sierra Club and qualified for several hundred thousand dollars of matching funds. Even if she doesn’t win, she’s run such an excellent campaign that she obviously has a future in the Green Party. Maybe even as a Presidential candidate.

>> Charlie Green is running unopposed for a seat on the Fremont School Board in Colorado.

>> Robyn Sklar is running an above-average campaign for city council in New York. She’s received some matching funds and will probably turn out a strong vote, but fall short of victory.

Also worth watching: Alice Green for mayor of Albany, NY…. Chris Hilderbrant for Monroe County Legislature in NY (seems like a winnable race).... and Brian Unger for Monmouth County Freeholder in New Jersey (received a major newspaper endorsement).

What are your thoughts on tomorrow’s races? Any predictions?

3 Responses to “Election Predictions (Round Two)”

  1. George Whitfield Says:

    I think that Fred Collins, Libertarian, will be elected Mayor of Berkeley, Michigan.

  2. Austin Cassidy Says:

    Yep, I think he’s got a very good shot at it. (He’s in my “round 3” article)..

    The Libertarians look good in a few local races tomorrow, but I’m honestly kind of disappointed there aren’t more likely winners out there.

  3. Third Party Watch » Blog Archive » Election Predctions (Round Three) Says:

    [...] In the first, I focused on the three big races today. In the second, I looked only at the major Green Party candidates. Now… the best of the rest. [...]